gardasee regen aktivitäten

Geopolitical Monitor. Brand Monitoring. Foreign Support It is difficult to establish the degree and scope of external involvement in the Naxalite insurgency. Nikola writes for several publications such us Geopolitical Monitor, Global Security Review, Global Comment and International Policy Digest, among others. It is even described as a “financial superpower.” Even if its position has been eroded by setbacks, imbalances, and weaknesses, it is foreseeable that the strength of the US dollar will not be matched anytime soon. Yet, Washington is not exactly powerless and it is logical to assume that it will not relinquish such an asset without a fight. Some analysts hold that an international monetary transition can be relatively peaceful and gradual. Third Scenario: Geo-Financial Bipolarity or Multipolarity. it must be borne in mind that sometimes countries sacrifice their legitimate economic interests for the sake of victory. In order to envisage them, it is essential to highlight that nature abhors power voids. Even though the dollar’s position still seems safe for the near future, the hypothetical rise of a parallel financial order anchored to gold as a monetary unit is a possibility that needs to be considered, especially when there are geopolitical incentives to diminish the dollar’s global dominance. Share. The most feasible candidate would be something called “Special Drawing Rights,” an artificial asset created as a unit of account by the International Monetary Fund, and whose value is tied to a basket of several currencies. The United States is still the world’s most powerful national state. In fact, an escalating geopolitical conflict fought in the financial sphere can provoke this very outcome, even if that is not what the contenders intended in the first place. Past is precedent in Israeli election, Secretary-General Guterres warns on the financial stability of the developing world, and troubling signs of a civil war in Myanmar. Accordingly, the yuan is currently positioned as a rising currency, but it is still too early to tell whether it is capable of overtaking the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Only time will tell if such plans go as expected, especially considering that this project has sparked heated debates about its implications for national security, personal privacy and the challenges it poses in terms of crafting a monetary policy related to currencies issued by national states with diverging geopolitical and economic interests. Blogger Outreach or Influencer Marketing. Geopoliticalmonitor.com is a registered trade name of Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp. © 2021 Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp., All Rights Reserved | ISSN 1927-3045. you need to be logged in to access this page. In review, Geopolitics Alert publishes news and opinions related to USA conflicts around the world from a non-interventionist perspective. In geopolitical terms, this idea might be attractive in case the global balance of power is reasonably stable. An abrupt monetary collapse can unleash widespread chaos derived from a widespread destruction of wealth. When it comes to assessing what to expect in the esoteric realm where geopolitics meets finance, there is no crystal ball. Given its apt handling of COVID-19 and ongoing US-China tensions, the country is now well placed to lead Southeast Asia’s economic recovery. Palma is re-taken by security forces in Mozambique, Peruvians head to the polls, and Russian troops amass near the Ukrainian border. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation. For the US economy, actual events produced a small, but short-lived decline in economic activity with the stock market rising one month after the shock. This reality fuels reasonable doubts about the long-term prospects of fiat money, in general, and the monetary hegemony of the US dollar, in particular. It was also a process that played a role in the breakdown of society and order that ended up in a stark civilizational regression. We provide research, analysis and up to date coverage on situations and events that have a substantive impact on political, military and economic affairs. Geopolitical tensions will continue to escalate over the course of the next seven years. GEOPOLITICAL.BIZ. Intelligence reports delivered right to your inbox, Analysis from our global network of experts. The power of empires inevitably declines after reaching their zenith. However, it is possible to assess the prospects of plausible scenarios. In the grand scheme of things, trying to freeze structural change is a demanding endeavor that requires vast amounts of military, economic, and political resources. Actually, elements of them can co-exist. It is therefore hard to anticipate with a high degree of accuracy what the future will bring regarding the present monetary hegemony. Plus, Moscow and Beijing know that the role of the dollar is one of the cornerstones of US national power, so it is hardly surprising that it is in their crosshairs. All of the recent frictions underpinning the US-Philippine alliance are on display in recent attempts to renegotiate the Visiting Forces Agreement. The recent proliferation of cryptocurrencies – a product of the Fourth Industrial Revolution – is seen by some as a game-changer that has given credence to the idea that, at some point, one of them could eventually become the new dominant global currency. However, that does not mean that governments will not be able create cryptocurrencies as digital twins of their own paper money. In fact, it has used many tools – including institutional frameworks, bilateral trade, the development of financial hubs, business platforms and investment agreements – in order to advance its international position and projection. In other words, the current monetary hegemony would be followed by a more fragmentary structure. Accordingly, this would likely mean an increased financial Lebensraum for currencies like the euro, the yuan and the pound sterling, amongst others. Milos Damnjanovic. Moreover, it must be pointed out that the conditions mentioned in these scenarios are not necessarily mutually exclusive. October. Continuously monitor for the geopolitical risks that matter most — from threats in specific regions to mentions tied to dangerous events. Situation Report (600-2,000 words) A situation report takes one pertinent geopolitical topic or issue and analyzes it from all possible angles. Buy The World Explained in Maps for $24.99. It could even be argued that the first shots have already been fired in this highly unconventional battle space. In fact, more than one monetary unit can act as reserve currency. Nonetheless, appearances can be deceiving. Their implementation would demand a substantial degree of technical and political collaboration – something that for the time being appears elusive. It is too early to tell if gold can replace the US dollar at some point within the next few decades, but at least it is clear that the aureus metal’s singular attributes enhance its prospects. By Geopolitical Monitor By Try Ananto Wicaksono As the world’s largest producer and consumer of palm oil, the palm oil industry has become an important part of Indonesia’s economy. However, the prospects of an eventual restoration of a gold standard are being discussed nowadays. Furthermore, as a matter of policy in terms of grand strategy, Washington has done everything in its power to preserve and enhance the dominant role of its currency as an international unit of account, store of value and medium of exchange. Meanwhile, geopolitical threats produced large and protracted recessionary effects as well as a decline in stock prices. Geopoliticalmonitor.com is a registered trade name of Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp. © 2021 Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp., All Rights Reserved | ISSN 1927-3045. you need to be logged in to access this page. Geopoliticalmonitor.com. Reach thousands of authority bloggers and social media influencers in your domain area. Feedspot has over 100k Influential Bloggers database classified in more than 1500 niche categories. It can potentially become a competitive challenger, but one that would have to overcome substantial structural issues if it intends to catch up. Moreover, it would prevent the structural distortions commonly associated with unipolar monetary hegemony. In this context, even covert operations – which are often undertaken in order to derail or at least to delay structural trends – constitute a tool that can be used to protect the supremacy of the greenback in the coming decades. Besides, it must not be forgotten that even though the greenback is a fiat currency, it is backed by US power projection capabilities, including a formidable nuclear arsenal. Blogger Outreach or Influencer Marketing. Week in Review: Geopolitical Posturing in the Balkans. Hence, it seems that at least the first generation of cryptocurrencies will only act as a medium of exchange in very specific markets, including some of the deepest corners of the so-called “dark web.”. Moreover, it would prevent the structural distortions commonly associated with unipolar monetary hegemony. The Geopolitical Logic of Turkey’s Strategic Reorientation Turkey’s robust expeditionary capabilities derive from the build-up of its defense industry over the course of the past two decades, a transformation whose logic extends back into Turkey’s strategic reorientation beginning in the early post-Cold War period. Therefore, even though the current position of US dollar seems solid at a first glance, alternative prospects deserve to be taken into account, particularly in a context in which the greenback faces structural challenges and is being targeted by a myriad of Washington’s strategic rivals. Toronto, Ontario, Canada About Blog Geopolitical Monitor is an open-source intelligence collection and forecasting service. As a matter of statecraft, China has been assertively promoting the internationalization of the yuan, also known as renminbi, a measure intended to enhance Chinese national power in the realm of finance. We take a … A remarkable precedent was the time when the Byzantine solidus and the Islamic dinar co-existed as international reserve currencies for several centuries during the Middle Ages. Submissions will be assessed on the basis of how well they adhere to the formats outlined below. This is the most common type of submission we receive at Geopoliticalmonitor.com, as it tends to … OR Purchase a subscription to Geopolitical Futures and recieve a FREE copy of The World Explained in Maps. Moreover, the fact that monetary reserves held by central banks are mostly denominated in US dollars provides a disincentive against attacks on the US currency. So far, none of the cryptocurrencies that have been launched is issued by a central bank. It conveys information that reflects the basic components of a place… When it comes to geopolitics, the key is to build a forecast by first noting the obvious. Indeed, the first draft of the NPR has already been rejected for not being ‘transformational’ enough [11]. geopolitical threats than by actual events, such as the start of a war or imposition of sanctions. This sounds almost apocalyptic, but that does not make it impossible. We » Geopolitical Monitor is an open-source intelligence collection and forecasting service. *This article was originally published on February 20, 2020. Japan; General elections These will be the first major electoral test for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its new leader since long-time prime minister Abe Shinzo left office in 2020. If gold reassumes a central role in worldwide financial markets as a result of a multilateral consensus negotiated amongst the great powers – this could happen in the aftermath of a new major financial crisis of international proportions – some players would evidently be better positioned than others. One way or another, the prospect of prolonged geopolitical and financial unipolarity is a profoundly ahistorical notion. This NPR will aim to build confidence among NPT stakeholders, essentially Nepalese and Filipino Maoist outfits have long been suspected of providing rhetorical and material support to the CPI(M). If Beijing wants to remake global finance, then it would need to forge a consensus with other economic heavyweights. In fact, this option’s underlying basket could even be widened so it also includes the currencies of emerging markets. Therefore, the emergence of SDRs as international money offers … Therefore, China intends to challenge the US monetary hegemony, even if that means the creation of a system of parallel structures conceived to bypass the dollar. An atlas is a geopolitical cheat sheet. In the debate concerning the future of monetary hegemony, it has been argued that a global financial order based on gold as its cornerstone could lead to an international system more stable in terms of geopolitical tension or even military conflict. Die Digitalisierung der Welt führt zu einer neuen Krypto-Ökonomie, die … Zac and Nick discuss what the United States achieved in Afghanistan and how regional interests are primed to reassert themselves once the US military leaves. In fact, some analysts claim that the US dollar has been on life support since the global financial crisis that broke out more than ten years ago. Monitor your product name, brand, competitors, keywords, authors, or any other topics. Even though it can be enduring, the global monetary order needs to be understood as a process that is always in flux. This configuration would mean the bifurcation of the current financial and monetary order into two or more competing systems, each with its own dominant currency, gold reserves, financial institutions, banking entities and payments mechanisms. However, in this case the dollar could still act as the reserve currency of one of these blocs. If London hopes to have any credibility, it must be uniform in its condemnation of sexual violence. The scenarios described and examined above illustrate that there are several possible outcomes, all of them heavily shaped by complex geopolitical, economic, financial, and even technological realities. Moreover, the dollar’s position is severely compromised by irresponsible monetary policies – like endless quantitative easing – and a growing spiral of indebtedness, something that is eroding the confidence it entails, an attribute that used to be taken for granted. For instance, the fall of the Roman denarius was not only a key driver in the decline of the Roman Empire. Alternative uses of space can contradict the modern geopolitical imagination which is closely tied to the nation-state and its administrative, political and economic categories (Preciado Coronado & Uc 2010: 85). Brand Monitoring. Hence, they have been described as the monetary equivalent of Esperanto. Global Forecast (3-30-2021) Forecasts - March 30, 2021. Accordingly, they are often the victims of their own success. Western Balkans Stability Monitor; Reviews . Peru’s presidency is up for grabs in what projects to be one of the most competitive elections in recent memory. If they are not effectively contained in a timely manner, their impact can be catastrophic in terms of depth and scope. Therefore, the emergence of SDRs as international money offers valuable opportunities for those interested in disabling the dollar’s supremacy, but without worrying about the disruption of financial stability. Even if it is not entirely clear who or what will eventually inherit the dollar’s coveted position, the possibility of a transition towards a bipolar or multipolar monetary order is real. Hence, any great power that is interested in crippling the hegemonic role of the greenback needs to carefully calculate the repercussions associated with the geopolitical burden that comes with being the issuer of the world’s dominant currency. 12 Predictions for Global Geopolitics for 2019 through 2025—and Beyond Across the globe, governments and institutions face increasing threats to their legitimacy and authority. April 1, 2021 06:52. A map is essential in this regard. It is possible that the US dollar loses its privileged status without being replaced by a clear successor. Middle East Gamechanger? Geopoliticalmonitor.com Potential challengers could become increasingly bold and assertive in order to establish their own parallel financial and monetary circuits. Hence, the rise of the renminbi is a sign of China’s increasing economic strength. Actually, there are noteworthy precedents. Thus, this is by far the most ominous scenario. Thus, in this case the corresponding projections need to transcend the disciplinary scope of traditional economic science. https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com/why-consociationalism-…/. Their currencies follow a similar trajectory. Moreover, the exchange rate of existing stateless cryptocurrencies (like Bitcoin) is so volatile that –instead of acting as reliable and stable stores of value – they operate like speculative assets. In other words, it paradoxically represents a self-defeating struggle. While we review all submissions, not every submission will be published. Without such fundamental ingredient, it is unlikely that a stateless currency can become the world’s top monetary standard. For instance, they can only be used by states, but not yet by either companies or individuals. However, since the stakes are too great, it would be unwise to assume that the outcome will not be shaped by an increasing level of geopolitical tension. We provide research, analysis and up to date coverage on situations and events that have a substantive impact on political, military and economic affairs.

Gemeinde Weeze Stellenangebote, Wie Schaut Ein Typenschein Aus, Grundbedürfnisse Des Menschen Maslow, Von Poll Bad Saarow, Bürgerbüro Düsseldorf Online Termin, Westfälische Hochschule Nc, Unterpunkten Oberstufe Bw, Anteil Akademiker Deutschland,