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Then, through the Red Sea, Turkey will expand its power into the Arabian Peninsula and control Arab Gulf countries oil wealth, up to the borders of Iran. A decade-old speculative map first published by Stratfor founder George Friedman in his 2010 book about “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast For The 21 st Century” is provoking distrust between the Russian and Turkish societies after it recently went viral on social media. Armenia, Greece, UAE, Bahrain, Cyprus, Georgia, Abkhazia, Ossetia, Syria, Yemen, Oman, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Egypt, Libya++ pic.twitter.com/uyVXikZV2O — spriters (@neccamc1) February 11, 2021 Bis 2050 wird die Türkei ihren Einflussbereich erheblich erweitern, in den ein Teil des Territoriums Russlands fallen wird. Here we are in 2021, and Turkey is ranked as the 19th largest economy in the world. In his speculations, Friedman drew a scenario wherein Egypt should go through a political turmoil, which allows Turkey to deploy its military troops to Egyptian territories, under the guise of bringing stability to the region. Turkish state TV channel TRT1 broadcasts a map with the forecast of the expansion of the sphere of influence of Ankara, prepared earlier by Stratfor. Honestly, Turkey had already got a golden opportunity, in 2011-2013, to manifest Freidman’s speculations into reality, by abusing Egypt’s weak state, in the aftermath of the Arab Spring. But emerging economies need to enhance their institutions and their infrastructure significantly if they are to realise their long-term growth potential. But we won’t react to it.” Meanwhile, in Crimea, Yuri Gempel, the chairman of the Crimean Parliament’s Public Diplomacy and International Affairs Committee, stated to RIA Novosti: “Everything looks most ridiculous and recalls something out of science fiction. Price Range $$ Opens Wednesday. Its founder George Friedman published a book in 2009 titled “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century,” which is based on predictions of how the geo-political map of the world will look in 2050. Commenting on the map showing Turkey expanding its influence deep within Russian territories, Krasov warned, “If they want to test the strength of the Russian spirit and our weapons, let them try.” Russian Senator Vladimir Zhabarov perceived this act as a provocation designed to test Russia’s reaction. However, in less than two years, Erdogan’s dream of sitting on the throne of an expanding Islamic Caliphate faded away. He is a contributor to the various local and regional newspapers and presenter of the “Turkey Today” program in Radio Voice of Van. Regional analyst & researcher. The Muslim Brotherhood regime in Egypt was removed in mid-2013. Therefore Russia must not let the scorpion cross its borders and has to fight against such ideologies, not only on its territory but also in neighboring countries. Explaining his argument, Mirzayan used an old parable about the frog and the scorpion: “Once a scorpion asked a frog to take him across the river on her back. During the past decade, the Arab Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia and UAE, which fall under the claimed area of Turkey’s influence in Stratfor’s map, developed their military powers to unprecedented levels. Stratfor 1996'da, Teksas'ın Austin kentinde kurulan özel bir istihbarat kurumu. Freidman claimed that “by the middle of the century, Turkey’s influence will extend deep into Russia and the Balkans, where it will collide with Poland and the rest of the Eastern European coalition. In his book, Freidman also claimed that by the middle of the century Turkey’s influence will extend deep into Russia and the Balkans, where it will collide with Poland and the rest of the Eastern European coalition. Freidman predicted that by 2050, Turkey will expand its power way beyond its current borders to build a new empire, similar to the Ottoman Empire. Friedman prognostiziert die wichtigsten geopolitischen Ereignisse und Entwicklungen des 21. He was a Research Assistant at the Armenian Diaspora Research Center at Haigazian University. Wie kommt er … In perfect application to Freidman’s proposed scenario for expanding Turkey’s influence over the region, Turkey has been cleverly using every opportunity to militarily intervene into the Arab countries, exhausted by political turmoil or torn by civil wars, in the aftermath of Arab Spring revolutions, under the flag of re-instating stability in the region or fighting terrorism. 30 yıl sonrasının değil, 500 yıl öncesinin haritası bu. Here we are in 2021 and that is not the case. "Gölge CIA" olarak bilinen Stratfor'dan 2050 yılında Türkiye haritası Amerikan Savunma Bakanlığı birimleriyle birlikte özel kuruluşlara da kritik istihbarat satan, aynı zamanda gayri resmi CIA olarak da anılan bir kuruluş olan Stratfor, 2050 yılında Türkiye'nin etki alanlarını öngördüğü bir … Interestingly, the Russians reacted harshly to the circulation of the map in the Turkish media. The book was published during a period when Turkey’s foreign policy under former Foreign Minister Ahmad Davutoglu was being shaped based on the so-called “zero-problem” foreign policy which aimed to ease tensions in neighboring countries starting from the signing of the Armenian-Turkish protocols and ending with consolidating “friendly” relations with Arab countries. Amerikan düşünce kuruluşu Stratfor’un hazırladığı 2050 Türkiye haritası gündeme bomba gibi düştü. uzun süre abonesiydim. George Friedman, The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, pp. Brian Genchur Public Relations STRATFOR www.stratfor.com PR@stratfor.com 512-744-4309 - office-----From: Brian Genchur [mailto:brian.genchur@stratfor.com] They are: (1) Egypt’s fast recovery from the political turmoil that followed the revolution of 2011, thanks to the Egyptian Armed Forces, which enjoys a state of autonomy, that enabled the military institution to preserve the economic and political well-being of the state, during the post-revolution political transitions. However, it will be an empire of influence and not an actual occupation. However, it will be an empire of influence and not an actual occupation. More Than Just a Map: Stratfor’s Map of Turkey’s Sphere of Influence 2050 Spread the love Freidman’s map kept Israel, which exists right … the Middle East, his rivals including Iran, Saudi … But we won’t react to it.” Meanwhile, in Crimea, the chairman of the Crimean Parliament’s Public Diplomacy and International Affairs Committee, stated to RIA Novosti: “Everything looks most ridiculous and recalls something out of science fiction. to its lowest exchange rate against the US dollar. Turkey's growing influence in the Middle East and the Mediterranean to Central Asia has become a source of concern for the West. Er befasst sich auch mit möglichen Veränderungen in Technik und Kultur innerhalb dieses Zeitraums. Alt-infoTV also doesn’t mention the fact that the map isn’t new. “Erdogan does not promise to refuse to interfere in the internal affairs of the Russian Federation…Russia should remain alert and not allow Turkey to take over regions under Moscow’s influence. Apparently, showing this old map on national TV was meant to serve the ongoing “neo-Ottoman” and “Pan-Turkic” aspirations of the ruling party in Turkey. Last summer, the Turkish lira fell to its lowest exchange rate against the US dollar. Now, many Turkish nationalists and government circles believe that such maps are “promising” given the rise of Turkish power in the region. Now, many Turkish nationalists and government circles believe that such maps are “promising” given the rise of Turkish power in the region. Last summer, the Turkish lira. Gelecekte; Türkiye'de ve Dünya'da neler olacağını, ihtimallerin gerçekleşmesi halinde Türkiye'nin konumu ne olacak. Meanwhile, in Syria and Libya, as his model clashed with the society or the ruling party, he tried to gain an advantage from the state disintegration and civil wars by sending his military. Such regional coalitions are pushing Turkey into forced economic isolation, sooner or later. The frog agreed that this argument was reasonable and logical, so she put the scorpion on her back and swam across the river. Axar.az reports that George Friedman, the founder of the US analytical company Stratfor, published a map of the geographical area in which Turkey will have a say in 2050 in his article "The next 100 years".. The third country is Poland. Turkey will frighten the Poles, the Indians, the Israelis, and above all the United States.”. ayakları yere basan tahminler ve analizler yaparlardı. Almost 12 years later, this map is recirculating, but this time it is being republished by Turkish media channels. İngilizce “Turkish sphere of influence 2050” üst başlığını taşıyan haritanın sağ alt köşesinde Stratfor’un internet sitesi adresinin yer aldığı görülebiliyor (Stratfor’un bahse konu haritayı CIA için hazırladığını öne sürenler de mevcut). In other regions, Turkey purposefully re-awakened muted conflicts to make a space for its military troops to intervene, as was the case in the eastern Mediterranean and the war over Nagorno-Karabakh region, last year. Stratfor'un Türkiye'nin etki alanlarını öngördüğü 2050 haritası, yabancıların elden ele dolaştırdığı bir belge haline geldi. STRATFOR'UN TÜRKİYE HARİTASI. Turkey’s economic alliances with Qatar or Iran cannot balance the economic power of these regional coalitions. The Turkish military is the second largest military in NATO, after the United States. Der einflussreiche amerikanische Politologe George Friedman glaubt, dass Deutschland in der zweiten Hälfte des 21. Facebook is showing information to help you better understand the purpose of a Page. Armin Rosen. Speaking of Turkey’s cultural and religious soft power, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan tried to employ this factor in the “Arab Spring.” As Islamist political parties took power in Tunisia and Egypt, Erdogan hailed them and saw the events from the prism of “political Islam” and tried to export the “Turkish governance model” to these countries. Your email address will not be published. By 2050, we estimated that the E7 economies could be larger than the G7 economies by between 25% and 75% depending on the measure used. Στα Wikileaks, δημοσιεύθηκε e-mail του υπευθύνου δημοσίων σχέσεων του STRATFOR, Brian Genchur , προς τον Meredith Friedman με τίτλο “Χάρτης Τουρκίας 2050” (Turkey 2050 map) με ημερομηνία αποστολής 24 Οκτωβρίου 2008. The first factor is Turkey’s soft power diplomacy characterized by culture and religion aimed to exercise influence over these states. We followed this initial analysis with reports looking at the implications of the rapid growth of emerging economies for global energy consumption and carbon emissions (September 2006), the growth of leading city economies to 2020 … According to a public survey, conducted by the Liberal Democracy Institute, in 2017, more than 80% of Egyptians said that they consider the Muslim Brotherhood a terrorist group, and refused the proposal of state reconciliation with the group, under any conditions. Maral Najarian’s Harrowing Tale of Captivity in Azerbaijan, An Open Letter to Members of the International Association of Genocide Scholars. The first factor is Turkey’s success in employing its economic supremacy, military strength, and cultural/religious soft power to exert influence over the states and/or the societies of targeted countries. Turkey's growing influence in the Middle East and the Mediterranean to Central Asia has become a source of concern for the West. ‘But if I sting you, you will drown – and I will drown with you. UK could be down to 10th place by 2050, France out of the top 10 and Italy out of the top 20 as they are overtaken by faster growing emerging economies like Mexico, Turkey and Vietnam respectively . Speaking of Turkey’s cultural/religious soft power, Erdogan has been ingeniously using Turkey’s model, as the only country that successfully consolidate Islam and democracy under a secular state, to gain support and empathy, among the youth of the huge Muslim population, stretching from Morocco to Malaysia. advancing liberal democracy and countering violent extremism. Its founder George … 203 (Doubleday, 2009). Friedman aynı zamanda "Amerika'nın Gizli Savaşı", "Savaşların Geleceği" gibi best-seller kitapların yazarı. Stratfor Threat Lens helps you identify, anticipate, measure and mitigate risks that emerging threats pose to your organizations people, assets and interests around the world. Amerikan düşünce kuruluşu Stratfor’un hazırladığı 2050 Türkiye haritası gündeme bomba gibi düştü. 2050" map is now called "Turkish Sphere of Influence 2050" Good call, Aaric. Explore the World in 2050. Freidman predicted that by 2050, Turkey will expand its power way beyond its current borders to build a new empire, similar to the Ottoman Empire. UAE, for example, has been described by renowned military analysts as “Little Sparta” for the highly advanced technology imported to its military, in the past ten years. Currently, the Turkish Defense Ministry operates military bases in the Middle East, Caucasus, Africa, and Asia. Daha önce parçalanmış Türkiye haritasını da ilk yayınlayan düşünce kuruluşu Stratfor'un kurucusu George Friedman'ın "Gelecek 100 Yıl" kitabında yer alan, Türkiye için 2050 yılında öngördüğü etki alanlarını gösteren harita, yabancılar tarafından sosyal medyada paylaşılıyor. Commenting on the map, Mirzayan argued that Erdogan’s Pan-Turkic and Pan-Islamist ideologies are threatening Russia’s interests. Speaking of Turkey’s cultural and religious soft power, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan tried to employ this factor in the “Arab Spring.” As Islamist political parties took power in Tunisia and Egypt, Erdogan hailed them and saw the events from the prism of “political Islam” and tried to export the “Turkish governance model” to these countries. Stratfor is an intelligence-based “research center” often described as the “shadow CIA” whose advisory is to sell intelligence. On February 14, 2021, Russian expert Gevorg Mirzayan, a research fellow of the RAS US and Canadian Studies Institute, published an article titled “How Russia Can Block Erdoğan’s Imperial Ambitions” in the Russian media outlet Vzglyad, later translated by the Middle East Media Research Institute. Speculative Turkish Regional Influence By 2050. Stratfor is an intelligence-based “research center” often described as the “shadow CIA” whose advisory is to sell intelligence. This map was originally created, in 2009, by George Freidman, the founder of Stratfor, an American corporate intelligence group. In the mid-21st century, around the year 2050, a Third World War will take place, between the United States, the "Polish Bloc", the UK, India, and China (Allies) on one side, and Turkey and Japan (the coalition) on the other, with Germany and France entering the war in its late stages on the side of Turkey … Əvvəllər parçalanmış Türkiyə xəritəsi ilk gündəmə gələn “Stratfor”un qurucusu Corc Fridman bu dəfə başqa bir iddia ilə diqqət çəkib. First Deputy Chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee, stated that the Turkish authorities are striving to restore the Ottoman Empire. His thesis topic was on China’s geopolitical and energy security interests in Iran and the Persian Gulf. On February 12th, a Turkish TV station, broadcasting nationwide, projected a mostly-red map highlighting Turkey’s expanding geopolitical influence, by 2050, over southern Europe, Caucasia, parts of Asia, and parts of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Armin Rosen . It is within this context that on February 9th the Turkish national TV station TGRT Haber (TRT1) republished the same map. What we (as Russians) should not do is allow (Turkey) a free ride and let the loyalty of Russian regions be ‘switched’ to Ankara,” asserted Mirzayan. However, the shocking speculations attached to the map, coupled with Turkish military’s recent moves in the aforementioned regions, made the map travel beyond Turkey’s borders, raising endless controversy among observers, worldwide, on how realistic Stratfor’s forecast could be. However, this requires for Turkey to enter into a brutal competition with Russia and China, which Turkey’s struggling economy is not ready to handle at the moment. That is despite Erdogan’s declared ideological animosity to Israel and his repetitive vows to “liberate Jerusalem from the hands of the Jews.”. Stratfor founder of Friedman’s book The Next 100 Years Turkey’s place is in the domain of the 2050 map, was once again back in the news in Turkish media sharing with social media by foreigners. What Were the Main Causes of the Armenian Genocide? On the economic supremacy issue, Friedman expected that by 2020, Turkey would have been among world’s top ten countries with the strongest economy. It’s a Turkish dream that will never come true! (TRT1) republished the same map. STRATFOR και Wikileaks. By 2050, Turkey will significantly expand its sphere of influence, into which part of the territory of Russia will fall. Regionally, across the Mediterranean Turkey was left alone in economic incentives against Greece, France and Egypt. Here we are in 2021, and Turkey is ranked as the 19th largest economy in the world. Stratfor sagt das bis 2050 voraus He also shared the positions of President Erdoğan’s plane in the air during the hours of the coup attempt. .” According to the book, the proposed expansion of Turkish influence should rely on three parallel factors. In one of its chapters, the book has published a map of “Turkey’s sphere of influence in 2050.” According to the map, Turkey’s sphere of influence by 2050 will include Greece, Cyprus, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Yemen, Gulf countries, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Crimea, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. On the main Turkish channel "TRT1", the presenter told which territories should become part of Turkey by 2050. Turkey has by far the most powerful and effective military in Europe and is going to be a major Mediterranean power.
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