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... More unpredictable are the tectonic shifts in geopolitics that can occur after major global upheavals. The ongoing low-intensity conflict in Balochistan between armed Baloch separatists and the Pakistani State, largely the paramilitary Frontier Corps has escalated. Geopolitics. This insurgency has now killed 20,000 and left over 7 million in need of humanitarian assistance. DOI link for Geopolitics. Against the GNA stood the LNA – the Libyan National Army, led by Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, a US citizen, who is explicitly supported by the UAE, and less overtly by the Russians through Wagner Group, Egypt and France. Following the resignation in November 2019 of Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi, new Prime Minister (and former National Intelligence Service Director) Mustafa al-Kadhimi was sworn in in May and vowed to lead a Government that would solve problems and not allow Iraq to be used as a battlefield for other countries. Washington, United States About Blog The Brookings Institution is … In Has China Won? Locusts are swarming in record numbers, inflicting crop damage of Biblical proportions across the Horn of Africa, intensifying humanitarian crises and political instability across the region. The momentum has shifted and it will seem that Lukashenko’s place in the Presidential Palace is secured for now, but 2021 is likely to see further developments. Empire. Sudan, whilst still battling a number of issues, has agreed peace deals with five rebel groups and has normalised ties with Israel, but South Sudan remains stricken with instability and violence, with a UN panel accusing the Government of refusing humanitarian agencies access to conflict zones and not offering full transparency on how oil revenues are being spent. Understanding of this conflict will be vital to understanding developments in the region this year. However, that is perhaps where the true value of the book lies. North Korea continues its nuclear enrichment and missile programmes and following his election victory, there have been calls for Joe Biden to make an agreement with Pyongyang which curbs these. Among the UK’s options are to become a deregulated trade hub which competes directly with the EU, attempt to pivot from one trading and political bloc to another, perhaps the Commonwealth or an anglospheric partnership between the far-flung UK, Canada, the US, Australia, and New Zealand, sometimes referred to as CANZUK; or to maintain its broad alignment with and commitment to the values espoused by the EU. Look for the full text of this book in 2021. Iraq is buffeted by economic problems and the World Bank and United Nations have warned that the poverty rate could double to 40% amid high youth unemployment, low oil prices, and the coronavirus outbreak. Thailand has experience major protests throughout 2020 in response to the Constitutional Court decision to dissolve the FFP, a politically liberal party which represents younger Thai values, championing abortion rights, educational reform, labour rights, and military reform including ending conscription. And when seeking to learn and understand a region, sometimes an eye on the ground is the way to develop the best sense of reality. The pandemic may yet signal a tipping point in China’s relationship with the rest of the world, with many nations calling for investigations to establish the Chinese Communist Party’s degree of culpability for the outbreak. What has been termed hybrid, full-spectrum, non-linear, or, simply, political warfare is increasingly becoming the norm and it is vital for analysts to understand the concepts involved and the tools available to actors practising this kind of warfare in order to recognise it as it occurs. January 6, 2021 Mia Bennett 0. In it, Bobbitt redefines and redraws recent history into an epic struggle between the forces of communism, fascism and parliamentarianism through the 1914-1990 “Long War” between the three competing systems. 12 p.m. – 1 p.m. Register here to join the webinar, or watch live on Watson's YouTube channel. Although the events in the book are nearly two decades old, the scars of September 11 and the Afghan War remain salient today, and Steve Coll’s work is a stark reminder of how little has been achieved since these events began.”, Ananay Agarwal – South Asian Affairs Analyst, The Billionaire Raj: A Journey Through India’s New Gilded Age – James Crabtree, “A crisp chronicle of India’s recent economic development told through anecdotes and interviews with some of India’s richest. It is undoubtedly this background that has empowered her to write such an accessible, insightful and relatable history of one of the world’s most intimidating geopolitical dynamics, the Saudi-Iranian rivalry. As the site’s editors, Simon Schofield and Lewis Tallon would also like to extend a special thanks to our hardworking analyst team, without whom this would not be possible. The Mozambique Government has asked for international assistance as its own troops need specialised counterinsurgency training, and have also been accused of human rights abuses during operations to curb militant activity. He also talks about the change in status quo brought about by the rise of Narendra Modi and the BJP in India. The latest “Schönes neues Geld” (Brave new money) published in German in 2018 just came out in Chinese. “Even hardened, intelligent western analysts with years of experience can still find the Middle East’s nexus of cultures, politics, economies, sects, and competing interests difficult to approach, let alone explain to others. Chivers’ book focuses on those who actually prosecuted the efforts in Iraq and Afghanistan. This development begins the process of crystallising the new fault lines in the Middle East, which centre around a conflict between Saudi Arabia, Israel, and its new allies on side, and Iran, Qatar, Turkey and their assorted proxies on the other. Protests and political violence have also taken place at rallies for the far-right, such as the Proud Boy demonstration in Portland, organised in support of President Trump. Western withdrawal from Afghanistan will mean that 2021 will involve a scramble for interests and influence in the country among the various neighbouring powers, notably India, Pakistan, China, Iran, and Russia. Kaldor’s work is a critical window into these conflicts, and is highly recommended for analysts seeking to better understand them.”, Simon Schofield – Co-Editor and Terrorism and WMD Analyst, The Dragons and the Snakes: How the West Learned to Fight the Rest – David Kilcullen, “David Kilcullen is one of the foremost scholars of war and international relations of our era, having crafted the strategy of disaggregation, which was used to shape modern counterterrorism strategy against al Qaeda and ISIS since 9/11. For anyone simply interested in the region outside of work, Black Wave is a gripping and painstakingly researched introduction to the Sunni-Shia cold war. This list need not be read from beginning to end. The Government was ordered by the International Court of Justice in January 2020 to cease the commission of genocidal acts, and in November the UN General Assembly voting overwhelmingly to support a draft resolution expressing “grave concern” about the situation of the Rohingya and various legal proceedings against the Government will progress in 2021. Further, the human race itself is experiencing demographic change. Nevertheless, it marks an encouraging early step in the wider publication of expertly and carefully handled collections of primary sources.”, Charlie Song – Global Security Affairs Analyst, The Fighters: Americans in Combat – CJ Chivers, “Chivers, a Pulitzer Prize winning combat correspondent’s second book focuses on the rank and file accounts of the Global War on Terror. Steve Coll’s book reveals that there were no easy answers, no simple solutions, and no clear paths in the fight against terrorism and against Bin Laden. They also provide the perfect opener to a new volume of primary IS sources, compiled and analysed by a group of three experts in the field, The ISIS Reader: Milestone Texts of the Islamic State Movement. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. By Jerome Hauer, Ph.D. Most importantly, it highlights the political fears and aspirations of the Ottoman and Russian empires, points that remain salient to the present day.”, Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan, and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001 – Steve Coll, “Steve Coll’s Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan, and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001 is an immensely detailed work. Turkey has embarked on a neo-Ottoman project, fusing a powerful revanchist nationalism that seeks revenge on the Treaty of Lausanne on behalf of Turkic peoples with a Nasserist ambition to be seen as the leading Sunni power and a staunch support for the Muslim Brotherhood. As Russia and Turkey have begun to ramp up their geopolitical presence, this facet of history is especially salient. Popular Culture, Geopolitics and Identity Jason Dittmer and Daniel Bos Rowman & Littlefield, Second Edition, 2019. The book describes how a vast Atlantic security class, along with its prominent adherents such as Joe Biden, have publicly sought to depict the forty-fifth president as an aberration. The frequent factual errors are put right. A semi-autonomous enclave still exists in the area of northern Syria which the Kurds call Rojava, held by the Syrian Democratic Forces, although it is under attack by Turkey and its foreign legion comprising Islamist militants. Encyclopedia Geopolitica is a collaborative effort to bring you thoughtful insights on world affairs. Iran will seek to carve out a sphere of influence among Persian-speaking and Shi’a areas, particularly around Herat and in the Hazarajat. Nevertheless, the analysis is kept separate to the subject matters themselves, to create an atmosphere one would feel in the presence of a highly dangerous museum exhibit. See below for a selection of the latest books from Geopolitics category. Tuesday, March 30, 2021. DOI link for Geopolitics. As an independent publication, our writers are volunteers from within the professional geopolitical intelligence community, and referrals like this support our ability to create future content by funding server time and domain fees. The Multinational Joint Task Force (MJTF), headquartered out of N’Djamena, Chad is tasked with fighting the jihadists, comprising troops and civilian support from Benin, Cameroon, Chad, Niger, and Nigeria. In this timely book, leading scholar Oran Young reflects on the future of the global order. Genetic editing technology is on the one hand fraught with ethical and philosophical problems, but on the other has the potential to revolutionise agriculture, cure disease, and endow mankind with physical powers heretofore the province of science fiction. This may well lead to further armed conflict between the two, and also spark intensified political rivalry between Morocco and Algeria, who recognises the Sahrawi’s rights to self-determination. Despite previously being unpopular due to the economic slowdown and political scandals, he has won plaudits for his Government’s effective response to the coronavirus outbreak. Their main interests include building a sphere of influence to the north, especially among Tajik populations to create a security buffer in order to disrupt Caucasian terrorism directed towards Moscow; oppose Western interests and undo their legacy; establish themselves as regional power-brokers, and to secure economic interests. How this is a real game-changing moment cannot be emphasized enough; 21st century geopolitics will never be the same again. One criticism that can be leveled at Mahbubani’s analysis is that he seems more cutting when discussing the US’ weaknesses and a little too ready to omit or skim over some of China’s problems, favouring a more complimentary narrative to CCP rule than many will agree with (these people should probably pay attention to chapter 7). Whilst these elections, only the second such since a half-century of dictatorship, were welcomed as a stepping stone towards democracy, disappointment was expressed by foreign governments (including the UK) that the Rohingya Muslim minority was disenfranchised. Resilience is a Competitive Necessity — Why the Security Landscape Has Changed Forever. The Death of Expertise: The Campaign Against Established Knowledge and Why it Matters Many developed countries in the West and elsewhere find their societies ageing, which has major implications for their workforces, immigration policies, and economic futures. Scepticism continues to be raised about their effectiveness and in April 2020 Chad’s President Idris Deby, perhaps mindful of the upcoming 2021 elections, voiced frustrations that his country was being asked to shoulder a disproportionate burden in the campaign and announced that Chad’s contingent of the MJTF will now be confined to fighting Boko Haram within their own borders. I invite readers to read the entire book from front to back, but I would like to emphasize to the time-pressed reader that each chapter in this book

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